March Madness Final Four Odds

The Final Four returns to San Antonio on April 5, 2025. The national championship is Monday, April 7.

UConn had won back-to-back men’s basketball national championships and was trying to join UCLA as the only programs to win March Madness at least 3 years in a row. But Florida ended the Huskies’ bid at a 3-peat with a 77-75 victory in the second round of the NCAA Tournament.

Florida rallied to beat Texas Tech on Saturday, March 29, and advanced to the Final Four. Duke dominated Alabama in the Elite Eight and also advanced to the Final Four.

Sunday, March 30, Tennessee plays Houston, and Auburn plays Michigan State in the Elite Eight. The winners also advance to the Final Four.

Odds to Reach The Final Four

Florida and Duke won Saturday and clinched a spot in the Final Four. Here are the current odds as of Sunday, March 30, to make the Final Four, via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Fortunately for March Madness fans of the SEC and elsewhere, Saturday Down South has the country covered via 2025 Final Four odds from an in-depth and expert perspective.

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Scouting Teams with Best Odds in March Madness

Here’s a quick look at the 4 teams with a chance to reach the Final Four:

Auburn

The Tigers reached the Final Four in 2019 — their only trip in program history — but haven’t reached the Sweet 16 since.

This year is shaping up to be very different. Led by National Player of the Year candidate Johni Broome, Auburn has been ranked No. 1 or No. 2 most of the season. They have a chance to set a program record for wins before the NCAA Tournament begins. The 2019 Final Four team set the mark with 30 victories.

Houston

Houston won the Big 12 Tournament. Kelvin Sampson is on the short list of best coaches who have never won March Madness. He has built the Cougars into an annual threat to make the Final Four, though.

Houston made the 2021 Final Four as a No. 2 seed. They reached the Elite 8 in 2022 as a No. 5 seed. In 2023 and 2024, the Cougars earned a No. 1 seed but were upset in the Sweet 16 both years.

This year’s team rebounded from a tough early stretch and is on track to win 30+ games for the 5th time in the past 6 seasons. They’ve been ranked in the top 10 since January.

Tennessee

The Vols have been knocking on the door of reaching their first Final Four but haven’t been able to break through.

They made the Elite Eight in 2024, though, their high point under Rick Barnes.

This year’s team has a new star — transfer guard Traz Lanier is their leading scorer — and the same, reliable Zakai Zeigler. Both are seniors, and they form one of the best backcourts in the country. They’re the biggest reason Tennessee spent several weeks at No. 1 in the AP poll before experiencing the grind of the SEC.

Michigan State

Never count out Mr. March, Tom Izzo.

On cue, Izzo has his Spartans playing their best basketball of the season heading into March Madness.

The Spartans won the Big Ten regular-season championship on the strength of guard play. They don’t have a bona-fide star, but everybody on the floor contributes to winning.

Typical of Izzo’s teams, Michigan State defends better than it plays offense.

Tips to Consider about Final Four Seeds

Since 2000, 16 teams seeded No. 7 or worse have made the Final Four. However, 13 of those lower seeds have reached the Final Four in the 13 most recent NCAA Tournaments.

At least 1 team seeded No. 4 or worse has made the Final Four in each of the past 14 tournaments.

However, March Madness still belongs to the No. 1 seeds. Only 3 times in the past 30 years has a No. 1 seed failed to make the Final Four: 2023, 2011 and 2006. And 11 times in the 2000s, at least 2 No. 1 seeds reached the Final Four.

Is that changing? Perhaps. NIL and relaxed transfer rules have shifted the sport’s power structure and spread out the talent. Here’s a Final Four breakdown, by seeds, from the past 5 NCAA Tournaments

• No. 1 seeds: 6 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 2 seeds: 4 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 3 seeds: 1 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 4 seeds: 2 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 5 seeds: 3 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 8 seeds: 1 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 9 seeds: 1 of 20 made the Final Four
• No. 11 seeds: 2 of 20 made the Final Four

Picking the correct Cinderella is rewarding, but history suggests the very best teams in the regular season tend to make the Final Four as well.

Chris Wright

Managing Editor

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Executive Editor Chris Wright oversees editorial operations for Saturday Down South.