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NCAA Tournament upsets: Analyst Evan Miyakawa names most-likely upset for every seed line
By Adam Spencer
Published:
NCAA Tournament action tips off on Tuesday night in Dayton with First Four action. Alabama State vs. Saint Francis (PA) gets the festivities started as those 2 schools fight for the right to be a 16-seed in Auburn‘s bracket.
Then North Carolina has a chance to prove the doubters wrong with a matchup against San Diego State for the right to be an 11-seed that will face 6-seed Ole Miss in Round 1.
The 32 first-round games are where the real excitement happens, though. Upsets will abound in Round 1 — that’s why it’s called March Madness, after all.
College hoops analyst Evan Miyakawa is looking into potential upsets. As you can see below, he named the most likely upset for every seed line in this year’s NCAA Tournament:
As you can see, a few SEC basketball teams are on upset alert. Florida is the most-likely 1-seed to lose in Round 1. The Gators take on 16-seed Norfolk State. In the 3/14 matchups, Kentucky is most at risk against Troy (largely due to injuries on the Wildcats’ roster).
On the 4/13 line, Texas A&M faces a tough challenge against a Yale team that does a lot of the things that cause the Aggies problems. Evan Miyakawa gives Yale a 30% chance to pull off the upset.
Notably, Miyakawa has VCU over BYU as the most-likely 6/11 upset, instead of Mizzou losing to Drake (which has become a trendy pick in many brackets).
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And finally, Miyakawa actually gives 9-seed Baylor a 58% chance to “upset” 8-seed Mississippi State in the Round 1 8/9 matchups.
The Madness is about to get started! Which teams will suffer upset losses? We’ll find out soon enough.
Adam is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A 2012 graduate of the University of Missouri, Adam now covers all 16 SEC football teams. He is the director of DFS, evergreen and newsletter content across all Saturday Football brands.
