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SEC Football

Florida opens as slight home favorite over Ole Miss in Week 4 SEC showdown

Cory Nightingale

By Cory Nightingale

Published:

Florida and Ole Miss are living large right now in the SEC and in the college football landscape.

Both pulled off thrilling and rewarding Week 3 victories, with the Gators going to the Plains and knocking off Auburn while the Rebels, you might have heard, knocked off Lane Kiffin and LSU in 1 of the most highly anticipated matchups of the 2026 season.

Those huge wins improved Florida and Ole Miss to 3-0, and the undefeated teams with high ambitions will lock horns in Week 4 in Gainesville. It’ll be a matchup to see which team can get to 2-0 in the SEC, and the showdown will get the royal treatment with a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff on ABC.

The Rebels have risen to No. 4 in the new AP Poll, while the Gators entered the poll on Sunday at No. 21. So, who has the advantage in this clash of teams who’ve owned the month of September so far? According to the opening betting lines for Week 4, which were revealed on Sunday afternoon, the advantage in the betting world is going to the home team.

Florida has opened as a slight, 3-point favorite over Ole Miss, despite the Rebels’ ranking and despite the rousing victory on Saturday night over Kiffin.

Here is that line and the rest of the opening lines for what will be the final college football Saturday in September:

Florida and Ole Miss have everything out there available to accomplish this season, with both being undefeated so far. How about an SEC title in December? Here is what the Kalshi market is currently saying about both teams’ chances to not only win a lot this season, but win the SEC championship:

Prediction Markets
College Football SEC Championship Winner (2026)
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Georgia
30%
Texas
28%
Ole Miss
13%
Alabama
9%
LSU
7%
Florida
4%
Tennessee
2%
Texas A&M
2%
Mississippi St.
2%
South Carolina
1%
Cory Nightingale

Cory Nightingale, a former sportswriter and sports editor at the Miami Herald and Palm Beach Post, is a South Florida-based freelance writer who covers Alabama for SaturdayDownSouth.com.

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