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Prop bets for the SEC’s seventh Saturday:
KYLE ALLEN’S NUMBERS AGAINST ALABAMA
Options — Less than 150 yards; Between 151-225; Between 226-299; 300 or more
Projection: One of five SEC starting quarterbacks completing passes at a 64 percent (or higher) clip, Allen’s posted back-to-back 300-yard outings against division rivals is looking forward to getting his first real action against the Crimson Tide. He only attempted five passes in last season’s dismal loss in Tuscaloosa as Kenny Hill’s backup. Last fall, Alabama ranked 11th in the SEC in pass defense, but is second only to Mizzou this season, yielding just 187.2 yards per game. Better play in 1-on-1 situations and a solid pass rush has aided the Crimson Tide secondary. Nick Saban said this week that Texas A&M creates various matchup problems with its speed at receiver and I think the Aggies will be able to exploit some mismatches down field. Will 275 yards and a couple touchdown from Allen be enough to conquer the defending SEC champs?
FLORIDA’S POINT TOTAL AT LSU
Options — 7 or less; 10 or less; Between 11 and 19; 20 or more
Projection: Will the Gators ‘get out alive’ inside Tiger Stadium with Treon Harris at quarterback? The personnel switch at the position following Will Grier’s unanticipated suspension certainly changes the offense for Florida to a smaller playbook. Jim McElwain doesn’t like to admit that Florida’s passing game will be affected, but tape doesn’t lie and Harris struggles with intermediate to longer throws. He does however present a varied skill set on third down that Grier doesn’t possess — the ability to make plays outside of the pocket. Like we’ve said all week, Grier or no Grier, this game was going to be the Gators’ toughest the rest of the way. In a low-scoring affair, I think Florida gets a couple field goals and manufactures a touchdown on a short field following a turnover.
