FiveThirtyEight updates CFP, conference title predictions through Week 9 results

Oklahoma suffered its first loss over the weekend, and LSU’s chances of making the College Football Playoff increased.

With the Sooners no longer unbeaten, there’s a greater likelihood that Alabama and LSU could both reach the CFP, if the loser of the matchup between the No. 1 Tigers and No. 2 Crimson Tide on Nov. 9 doesn’t lose any other games and is impressive in defeat.

FiveThirtyEight released its updated College Football Playoff prediction percentages on Monday after the conclusion of Week 9 games, and LSU’s chances of making the CFP increased from 32 percent last week to 44 after its victory over Auburn on Saturday. Only three teams have greater odds — No. 4 Clemson (86 percent), No. 3 Ohio State (64) and No. 2 Alabama (53).

Of course, LSU would pass Alabama with a win over the Crimson Tide on Nov. 9.

Here are all the SEC teams that were included in this week’s FiveThirtyEight projections:

• Alabama — 43% chance to win conference, 53% chance to make Playoff, 17% chance to win title
• LSU — 23% chance to win conference, 44% chance to make Playoff, 10% chance to win title
• Georgia — 18% chance to win conference, 16% chance to make Playoff, 3% chance to win title
• Florida — 15% chance to win conference, 12% chance to make Playoff, 2% chance to win title
• Auburn — <1% chance to win conference, 3% chance to make Playoff, <1% chance to win title
• Texas A&M — 0% chance to win conference, <1% chance to make Playoff, <1% chance to win title

Jake Rill

Jake Rill contributes to news coverage for Saturday Down South. He has covered the SEC since 2016.